Summary

Davis Mills was selected in the 3rd Round (#67 Overall) in the 2021 Draft out of Stanford University. Mills is a young quarterback with prototypical size, a strong arm, and the ability to make a full-field throw. Since entering the NFL, he has shown flashes of promise but has also struggled with consistency, decision-making, and turnovers. Mills thrives when given a clean pocket, structured play-calling, and reliable pass protection. His development trajectory suggests he could grow into a starting-caliber quarterback if he improves accuracy under pressure and overall game management.

Strengths

• Arm strength and field-stretching ability: Mills can make all the necessary throws, including deep shots, sideline throws, and tight-window passes, which allows creative play-calling.

• Prototypical size and mechanics: At 6′4″ with good throwing mechanics, he is durable in terms of taking hits and can see over defenses to read the field.

• Poise in the pocket with clean protection: Mills performs best when given time and space, showing solid footwork and timing on deep and intermediate routes.

• Mobility in the pocket: Not an elite runner, but he can step up, slide, and occasionally scramble to extend plays.

• Potential for growth: As a first-round pick, he has a strong foundation and the ability to improve with experience and coaching.

Weaknesses

• Inconsistent accuracy under pressure: Mills has struggled when facing pressure, leading to errant throws and turnovers.

• Decision-making and read recognition: At times, he locks onto primary reads or misreads coverage, resulting in interceptions and stalled drives.

• Limited play-making outside the pocket: While he can extend plays for a few seconds, he is not a designed runner and lacks elite agility to escape pressure consistently.

• Inexperience: Entering his fourth NFL season, Mills has limited starting experience, which can lead to mistakes and inconsistency.

• Needs strong supporting cast: Success is highly dependent on offensive line performance and skill-position talent around him.

Fit & Outlook

Mills best fits a team willing to invest in development with a strong offensive line, quick-read passing schemes, and progressive coaching. He operates best in a system that balances intermediate passes, play-action, and clean pocket opportunities. As a current backup, the door is still not completely closed on Millas as a potential starter with incremental growth expected each season; may serve as a bridge starter or develop into a franchise QB depending on improvement trajectory. His ceiling can still be a reliable starting quarterback capable of 4,000+ yards, 25–30 touchdowns, and low-to-moderate interceptions in a balanced offense. Otherwise, he will continue as a backup or situational starter, struggling with turnovers and inconsistent play, reliant on scheme and supporting cast.